official (DDPM Disaster Prevention and Mitigation Command Centre assessment, 6 AM Oct 4, via The Nation and Bangkok Post · Bangkok Metropolitan Administration announcement of Sep 29, via PRD Thailand) · media report (The Guardian, Oct 3, citing the government)

Bangkok floods: 3.26 million people affected in Thailand, four deaths in the capital, and where the 40 figure comes from

Origin Lane: climateThailand · Bangkok and 27 provinces, worst rises in the Central region (Suphan Buri, Ayutthaya, Pathum Thani) and Chachoengsao in the East

DATA: DDPM, via The Nation

More than 3.2 million people in Thailand are living with floodwater, the national disaster agency says, and its official count for Bangkok itself is four deaths, a smaller number than the roughly 40 that has been travelling with the city's name.

Key facts

Affected (DDPM, 6 AM Oct 4)
1,171,165 households, 3,262,676 people, in 154 districts, 1,209 subdistricts and 8,790 villages across 27 provinces, plus Bangkok
Bangkok (DDPM)
329,000 affected households and four deaths · water levels beginning to fall, with standing water and the Chao Phraya River still under watch as dams release water upstream
Outside the capital (DDPM, via The Nation)
Deaths reported include eight in Samut Prakan, seven in Prachin Buri and six in Sa Kaeo · water still rising in Suphan Buri, Ayutthaya, Pathum Thani, Ang Thong, Sing Buri, Uthai Thani and Chachoengsao
National toll (DDPM, via Bangkok Post, Oct 4)
31 flood deaths since Sep 16, including four in Bangkok
The 40 figure (The Guardian, Oct 3)
"About 40 people died in flood-related incidents, according to the government." The article does not say which areas that total covers
Disaster areas (BMA, Sep 29)
All 50 Bangkok districts were declared disaster areas on Sep 25 · the designation was lifted in 21 on Sep 29 and stays in 29, where 14 districts were assessed moderately and 15 severely affected
All facts (8)
Rain (Thai Meteorological Department)
Thundershowers, gusty winds and isolated heavy to very heavy rain over upper Thailand Oct 4 to 7 · rainfall expected to increase in the Central, Eastern and Southern regions Oct 8 to 13
Help line (DDPM)
1784, 24 hours, or LINE @1784DDPM

The water just kept rising.

Suleemas Kurangkul, 73, a resident of the Khlong Chan flats in north-east Bangkok, to The Guardian, Oct 3

Note

Thailand's flood is bigger than its capital. At 6 AM local time on Oct 4, the Department of Disaster Prevention and Mitigation counted 1,171,165 households, or 3,262,676 people, affected by flooding in 27 provinces and Bangkok, according to its director-general, Nirat Pongsitthithaworn, as reported by The Nation and the Bangkok Post. The agency blames days of very heavy rain and a large volume of water flowing down from the North into the basin-shaped Central region.

For Bangkok itself, the agency lists 329,000 affected households and four deaths. Water in the capital is beginning to fall, it says, but standing water and the Chao Phraya River are still being watched as dams upstream release more water. Outside the city the agency's provincial rundown reports more deaths, including eight in Samut Prakan, seven in Prachin Buri and six in Sa Kaeo, and water still rising in central provinces such as Suphan Buri, Ayutthaya and Pathum Thani.

A larger figure has also been reported. The Guardian wrote on Oct 3 that about 40 people died in flood-related incidents, according to the government, some by drowning and several by electrocution. The article does not say whether that total covers Bangkok alone or a wider area, and the Oct 4 agency report carried by The Nation lists four deaths for the capital.

Bangkok's own disaster map has shrunk but not cleared. The city declared all 50 districts disaster areas on Sep 25. On Sep 29, Governor Chadchart Sittipunt lifted the designation in 21 districts, and it remains in the other 29, according to the government's public relations department.

More rain is coming. The Thai Meteorological Department forecasts thundershowers, gusty winds and isolated heavy to very heavy rain over upper Thailand from Oct 4 to 7, with rainfall expected to pick up again in the Central, Eastern and Southern regions from Oct 8 to 13. The disaster agency is telling people in low-lying areas and along the Chao Phraya to watch for flash floods and runoff. Its emergency line is 1784.

Why it matters

Two numbers are travelling with the word Bangkok. Four is the capital's own death count in the disaster agency's Oct 4 report. About 40 is the government figure the Guardian reported, with no breakdown by area. Neither is the end of it: water is still rising in the provinces just upstream, and more heavy rain is due this week.

Sources

Primary + secondary attribution as listed.

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