official (National Weather Service Tiyan, Guam, Super Typhoon In-fa advisory 21, and Joint Typhoon Warning Center warning 21, Oct 28)

Super Typhoon In-fa heads for the northern Marianas with 150 mph winds

Origin Lane: climateWestern Pacific · Super Typhoon In-fa, east of the Northern Mariana Islands (pin: NWS Guam center position 15.5N 156.9E)

The storm is still far out over open water, but its path now runs toward the thinly peopled islands of the northern Marianas, and the forecasters in Guam have put three of them on watch.

JTWC forecast track map for Super Typhoon In-fa, warning 21, showing the storm passing north of Saipan and Tinian
JTWC forecast track for Super Typhoon In-fa, warning 21, Oct 28. Photo: Joint Typhoon Warning Center, Public domain, via Joint Typhoon Warning Center, U.S. Navy, public domain (cropped).

Key facts

Strength
Maximum sustained winds of 150 mph (NWS Guam); 130 knots gusting to 160 knots at 1200 UTC (JTWC)
Position
15.5N 156.9E at 1500 UTC Oct 28, about 775 miles east southeast of Agrihan, 755 miles east southeast of Pagan and 820 miles east of Guam (NWS Guam)
Movement
West northwest at 15 mph, with a slight increase in forward speed expected through Friday (NWS Guam)
Watches
Typhoon Watch for Alamagan, Pagan and Agrihan: typhoon conditions, winds of 74 mph or more, possible within 48 hours (NWS Guam)
Track
Center forecast to pass close to Agrihan Friday afternoon or evening, local time (NWS Guam)
Wind field
Typhoon force winds up to 50 miles from the center and tropical storm force winds up to 125 miles (NWS Guam)
Outlook
Forecast to hold its intensity tonight, then begin to weaken Friday (NWS Guam)

This general forecast track would bring the center of In-fa close to Agrihan Friday afternoon or evening.

National Weather Service Tiyan, Guam, advisory 21

Note

Super Typhoon In-fa is moving toward the northern Mariana Islands. The National Weather Service office in Tiyan, Guam, said in advisory 21 that the storm had maximum sustained winds of 150 mph at 1500 UTC on Oct 28, with its center near 15.5N 156.9E.

That put In-fa about 775 miles east southeast of Agrihan, 755 miles east southeast of Pagan and 820 miles east of Guam, moving west northwest at 15 mph. A Typhoon Watch is in effect for Alamagan, Pagan and Agrihan, meaning winds of 74 mph or more are possible within 48 hours.

Forecasters expect the storm to keep this course with a slight increase in speed through Friday, a track that would bring its center close to Agrihan on Friday afternoon or evening, local time. Typhoon force winds reach up to 50 miles from the center.

The Joint Typhoon Warning Center put In-fa's winds at 130 knots gusting to 160 knots in warning 21. The weather service expects the storm to hold its strength tonight and begin to weaken Friday.

Why it matters

Agrihan, Pagan and Alamagan lie in the far north of a US commonwealth, where help arrives by sea or air and a direct hit leaves little to fall back on.

Sources

Primary + secondary attribution as listed.

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