[
  {
    "claim": "IERS Bulletin A final polar motion for 27 Aug 2026: x = 0.212992 arcseconds, y = 0.342431 arcseconds (finals2000A.daily).",
    "why_it_matters": "Official Earth-orientation measurement. Not a pole-reversal forecast and not confirmation of ECDO.",
    "source_name": "IERS Rapid Service / Prediction Centre",
    "source_url": "https://datacenter.iers.org/products/eop/rapid/daily/finals2000A.daily",
    "timestamps": {
      "observed": "2026-08-27T00:00:00Z",
      "published": "2026-08-28T03:11:00Z"
    },
    "label": "official data",
    "lane": "ecdo"
  },
  {
    "claim": "NOAA CPC El Niño Advisory (13 Aug 2026): July Niño-3.4 +1.4°C; greater than 90% chance of a very strong event during NH fall and winter 2026–27.",
    "why_it_matters": "CPC language is strengthening / very strong. “Super El Niño” is not NOAA’s term in this discussion.",
    "source_name": "NOAA CPC ENSO Diagnostic Discussion",
    "source_url": "https://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/analysis_monitoring/enso_advisory/ensodisc.shtml",
    "timestamps": {
      "observed": "2026-07-01T00:00:00Z",
      "published": "2026-08-13T00:00:00Z"
    },
    "label": "official data",
    "lane": "climate"
  },
  {
    "claim": "USGS us7000tbwb: reviewed type landslide — glacial collapse and debris flow near Kodāri, Nepal; magnitude 5.2; tsunami 0.",
    "why_it_matters": "First catalog lines called it an earthquake. The official USGS type is landslide.",
    "source_name": "USGS Earthquake Hazards Program",
    "source_url": "https://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/eventpage/us7000tbwb",
    "timestamps": {
      "observed": "2026-08-26T02:52:10.000Z",
      "published": "2026-08-26T18:44:00Z"
    },
    "label": "official data",
    "lane": "climate"
  },
  {
    "claim": "USGS us7000tcf3: M 6.0 earthquake 145 km N of Caluula, Somalia; PAGER green (lowest fatality alert); tsunami flag 0.",
    "why_it_matters": "PAGER green is the lowest likely-death alert, not a confirmed casualty report.",
    "source_name": "USGS Earthquake Hazards Program",
    "source_url": "https://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/eventpage/us7000tcf3",
    "timestamps": {
      "observed": "2026-08-27T21:07:38.352Z",
      "published": "2026-08-27T23:16:18Z"
    },
    "label": "official data",
    "lane": "climate"
  },
  {
    "claim": "NASA JPL CAD: 2026 QY1 close approach 28 Aug 2026 at 0.011673 AU, 9.489 km/s. Not an impact forecast; not on Sentry.",
    "why_it_matters": "A catalog flyby is not a strike date.",
    "source_name": "NASA JPL CNEOS CAD API",
    "source_url": "https://ssd-api.jpl.nasa.gov/cad.api?des=2026%20QY1&date-min=2026-08-20&date-max=2026-09-05&fullname=true",
    "timestamps": {
      "observed": "2026-08-28T04:38:00Z",
      "published": "2026-08-28T03:11:00Z"
    },
    "label": "official data",
    "lane": "neo"
  }
]